* Zloty steady, bourse up after top officials killed
* Questions surround Polish central bank intervention
* Forint up, bond yields at lows after Fidesz election win
(Adds detail, quotes, updates prices)
By Jason Hovet and Marius Zaharia
PRAGUE/BUCHAREST, April 12 (Reuters) - Polish markets held their own on Monday, showing resilience in the first trading session since the weekend plane crash that killed the country's president, central bank governor and other senior officials.
In Hungary, the forint outperformed peers and bond yields dropped more than 20 basis points, their biggest daily fall in eight months, after Sunday's first round of elections brought a sweeping victory for centre-right Fidesz party. For details, see [
] Hungary's next prime minister, Viktor Orban, said he wants to cut taxes to revive the economy and cut the budget deficit once "true budget data for 2010 are known". [ ]The weekend events turned more focus on emerging Europe, where investors have pushed assets to multi-month highs amid better growth prospects than in the debt-laden euro zone periphery.
Warsaw's stock index <
> opened 0.2 percent lower on Monday before rebounding to trade higher in tandem with other bourses in the region, and hovered near 19-month highs.Sofia's bourse <.SOFIX> rose 0.5 percent, resilient to Bulgaria's government announcement on Friday that it delayed ERM-2 entry plans because of a hidden budget deficit. The news hit central European assets last week, particularly Romania's leu and Bulgarian CDS spreads [
].Markets got a lift from euro zone finance ministers' approval of a 30 billion euro ($40 billion) emergency aid mechanism for debt-plagued Greece, calming investors and sending the euro -- central Europe's reference currency -- temporarily to a one-month high versus the dollar. [
]But the zloty <EURPLN=> and other central European currencies lagged.
The Polish unit inched 0.2 percent up against the euro to bid at 3.862 by 1323 GMT, after hitting a two-week low earlier following the central bank's first intervention in 10 years on Friday to knock the unit of 16-month highs.
Polish bond markets stayed quiet, while Czech bonds continued a two-month rally on lower supply, with the 10-year yield touching a fresh three-year low.
Analysts expect Poland's financial markets to remain stable after a government plane crashed in heavy fog short of the runway near Smolensk, Russia on Saturday, killing President Lech Kaczynski, central bank governor Slawomir Skrzypek, other leading politicians and military officials. [
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* For more stories on the Polish crash and its aftermath please double click on [
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"The tragic deaths ... have created uncertainty about the political situation in Poland and about the monetary policy," Danske Bank said in a research note ...
"Our overall assessment is that the negative impact on the Polish economy and markets is likely to be small and short-lived as the Polish government under the leadership of Prime Minister Tusk continues to function normally."
Skrzypek was seen as the driving force behind last Friday's intervention. Analysts say central bank policy should stay unchanged, at least until a new bank chief is chosen in the coming weeks, and that the zloty's torrid strengthening this year would likely cool. [
] [ ]
FIDESZ GETS STRONG MANDATE
Hungary's forint rose 0.7 percent to 264.62 to the euro and stocks <
> lost some ground after hitting their highest since the start of 2008 earlier in the session.^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
* For a Take A Look on the Hungarian election please double click on [
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Bonds also firmed but mainly on the Greek news, dealers said. The 5-year yield dropped below 6 percent for the first time since September 2005, while 10-year yields were at the lowest since September 2007. Bond yields have fallen 140-165 basis points across the curve since the start of the year.
Dealers said lower supply and a strong election outcome was also positive for the debt market. [ID:nLDE62U1OZ]
"Markets have welcomed Fidesz's landslide victory," Capital Economics said. "But with a distinct lack of policy detail from the party so far, we remain only cautiously optimistic that its huge majority will translate into decisive action to tackle Hungary's underlying fiscal frailties."
The second round of elections is scheduled on April 25. --------------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT-------------------- Currency Latest Previous Local Local
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today in 2010 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 25.17 25.191 +0.08% +4.56% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 3.862 3.87 +0.21% +6.27% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 264.62 266.58 +0.74% +2.17% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.265 7.27 +0.07% +0.61% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.124 4.13 +0.15% +2.75% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 99.54 99.62 +0.08% -3.68% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 3-yr T-bond CZ3YT=RR +3 basis points to 68bps over bmk* 7-yr T-bond CZ7YT=RR -6 basis points to +75bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond CZ10YT=RR 0 basis points to +75bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR -3 basis points to +346bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR -3 basis points to +292bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR -3 basis points to +230bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR -27 basis points to +433bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR -29 basis points to +370bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR -22 basis points to +342bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1623 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT. For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news [
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