PRAGUE, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Central European currencies slipped against the euro on Monday, giving up some gains from last week in a calmer market, but with investors still edgy about the global financial crisis' impact on regional economies.
The year-long crisis spread into the region in the past month, battering markets and raising volatility, and on Monday Serbia followed Hungary in seeking help from the International Monetary Fund by negotiating a possible standby deal to draw cash from the fund [
].Serbia's dinar <EURRSD=> held steady on the news, and after the central bank raised its key policy rate by two percentage points to 17.75 percent on Friday.
Elsewhere, Hungary's forint <EURHUF=> was 2 percent lower versus the euro at 261.6 by 1559 GMT in thin trade.
The Czech crown <EURCZK=> slipped 0.9 percent to 24.25, Romania's leu <EURRON=> lost 0.9 to 3.68, and Poland's zloty <EURPLN=> fell 0.5 percent to 3.55.
"Markets have calmed a little bit," said Lubos Kolarik, a trader with Komercni Banka in Prague, adding falls were a correction after strong gains at the end of last week.
The outlook for Czech and Polish manufacturing plunged further last month as central European economies suffer from slumping demand in western markets, surveys showed on Monday [
], which raised prospects of interest rate cuts."The question is what the financial crisis will do to the real economy," a Prague fixed-income dealer said.
The European Commission slashed the region's economic growth forecasts on Monday, but Polish and Czech growth in 2009 should remain healthy relative to the euro zone, while Hungary is seen eking out a 0.7 percent gain next year [
].Poland's central bank is expected to keep rates flat until the new year. The Czechs first eased rates in August, and are seen cutting again on Nov. 6, coinciding with a 50 basis point cut expected from the European Central Bank on the same day.
"There is still a lot of uncertainty ahead of the ECB decision, so there's some nervousness (around currencies) there," said Jon Harrison, currency strategist with Dresdner Kleinwort.
Central European markets were smacked last month as the year-long financial crisis spilled over into the region, pushing Hungary to seek aid from the International Monetary Fund and European Union to ease concerns over its external financing.
The $25.1 billion Hungary-IMF/EU deal calmed some nerves, pushing the forint, which had lost around 15 percent of its value at one point in October, up 4.2 percent in the past week.
The zloty has gained 2.3 percent in the past week, while the crown is up 2.5 percent and the leu has gained 7 percent.
In other trade, Croatia's kuna inched up to 7.15 per euro, and analysts said a high interest rate differential with the euro zone could keep it attractive to investors.
Activity in central European government bonds remained thin, and Hungary's central bank bought fewer bonds than it planned at an auction on Monday [
].The central bank started buying back government bonds two weeks ago as part of its measures to revive frozen debt markets. ----------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT------------------------- Currency Latest Previous Local Local
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today in 2008 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 24.251 24.035 -0.90% +8.48% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 3.551 3.533 -0.49% +1.37% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 261.600 256.350 -2.05% -3.46% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.158 7.165 +0.11% +2.30% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 3.675 3.643 -0.88% -2.65% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 84.527 84.547 +0.02% -7.32% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 3-yr T-bond CZ3YT=RR -34 basis points to 161bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond CZ5YT=RR -3 basis points to +158bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond CZ9YT=RR +15 basis points to +125bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR +6 basis points to +435bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR +4 basis points to +353bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR +12 basis points to +273bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR +55 basis points to +1026bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR +43 basis points to +949bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR +7 basis points to +608bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1659 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1500 GMT. For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news [
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