* Silver, palladium rose more than two percent
* Spot gold to fall to $1,317-technicals[]
* Coming Up: U.S. initial jobless claims; 1330 GMT
(Updates prices)
By Rujun Shen
SINGAPORE, Nov 18 (Reuters) - Gold rose more than one
percent on Thursday, buoyed by a pause in a dollar rally after
soft U.S. inflation, while short-covering buying also helped.
U.S. core consumer inflation touched a record low in
October
and new home building sagged, lending support to the Federal
Reserve's move to boost the sluggish economy through additional
monetary easing. []
The dollar lost about 0.4 percent against a basket of
currencies, after rallying to seven-week highs.
"People expect the dollar to further deteriorate, which
gives a strong incentive to buy into gold," said Ellison Chu,
a senior manager at Standard Bank in Hong Kong, adding that
short-covering was seen around the current price level.
"They are building up another round of long positions."
Spot gold gained 1.3 percent to $1,352.64 an ounce
by
0645 GMT, after falling for four consecutive sessions.
U.S. gold futures rose by 1.1 percent to $1,351.7.
Spot gold is expected to fall to $1,317 per ounce
as a bear trend has established and a wave "c' or wave "3"
will
unfold, said Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst. []
For a 24-hour gold technical outlook, see:
http://graphics.thomsonreuters.com/WT/20101811090857.jpg
Robust physical demand in the region has also lent support
to prices, dealers said.
SILVER, PALLADIUM RALLY
Spot silver rose as much as 2.6 percent to $26.27 an
ounce, before easing to $26.24.
"The price drop from $29 to $25 last week was a bit
exaggerated," said Chu of Standard Bank, "Many expect silver to
be around $26 and $27. There's quite a lot of silver buying."
Silver is likely to rise above $30 and average $28 in 2011,
lifted by strong investment buying and recovering fabrication
demand, precious metals research and consulting firm GFMS
said. []
Holdings in the iShares Silver Trust , the world's
largest physically-backed exchange-traded fund, rose to a
record
high of 10,773.56 tonnes.
The fund's holdings gained five percent in the past month,
in comparison with just 0.3 percent rise in holdings of the
SPDR
Gold Trust over the same period of time.
Spot palladium rose nearly three percent to an
intraday high of $679.5, before softening to $675.95.
Speculation on diminishing palladium stockpiles in Russia
has also lent support to prices.
A lack of sales from Russian state palladium stocks could
leave the market "substantially in deficit" in the years to
come, refiner Johnson Matthey warned as it launched its
Platinum 2010 Interim Report.[]
"We still see Russian ingots supplies, and do not think the
Russian problem is very serious right now. But it is a good
excuse for speculators," said a Tokyo-based trader.
Precious metals prices at 0645 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct chg YTD pctchg Turnover
Spot Gold 1352.64 16.94 +1.27 23.45
Spot Silver 26.24 0.63 +2.46 55.91
Spot Platinum 1651.15 17.66 +1.08 12.55
Spot Palladium 675.95 15.70 +2.38 66.70
TOCOM Gold 3631.00 27.00 +0.75 11.41 51278
TOCOM Platinum 4472.00 43.00 +0.97 2.08 13224
TOCOM Silver 70.80 2.30 +3.36 36.94 2635
TOCOM Palladium 1812.00 98.00 +5.72 55.54 968
Euro/Dollar 1.3594
Dollar/Yen 83.18
TOCOM prices in yen per gram. Spot prices in $ per ounce.
(Editing by Ed Lane)
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