(updated on Aug 19 with July unemployment)
NEW LISTINGS OR AMENDMENTS ARE MARKED*
KEY INTEREST RATES ECB'S TWO-WEEK REPO
rate (pct) 1.00
last changed MAY 7, 2009
former rate (pct) 1.25
--------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK REAL GDP - FLASH ESTIMATE
Q2/10 (pct change q/q) +1.2
Q2/10 (pct change yr/yr) +4.6
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK REAL GDP Q1/10 Q4/09 Q1/09 FY/09
(pct change yr/yr) +4.8 -2.6 -5.7 -4.7
Final consumption
Household +0.4 -1.9 -0.9 -0.7
Government +6.2 +2.9 +1.3 +2.8
Gross fixed capital
formation -0.4 -7.3 -3.9 -10.5
Foreign trade balance
exports of goods
and services +16.8 -5.2 -25.5 -16.5
imports of goods
and services +9.9 -10.3 -22.3 -17.6
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK REAL GDP
(pct change yr/yr)
FY/2009 -4.7
FY/2008 +6.2 (+6.4)
FY/2007 +10.6 (+10.4)
FY/2006 +8.5 (+8.3)
FY/2005 +6.7 (+6.6)
FY/2004 +5.0 (+5.2)
FY/2003 +4.8 (+4.8)
FY/2002 +4.6 (+4.8)
FY/2001 +3.5 (+3.4)
FY/2000 +1.4 (+1.4)
--------------------------------------------------------------
C/A BALANCE MAY/10 APRIL/10 MAY/09
(mln euro) -134.0 -35.0 -98.0
C/A BALANCE END-2009 END-2008
(bln euro) -1.938 -4.433
--------------------------------------------------------------
FOREIGN TRADE JUNE 10 MAY 10 JUNE 09 JAN-DEC 09
(mln euro)
Imports 3,887.8 3,870.5 3,245.1 38,528.7
Exports 4,096.0 3,982.2 3,253.4 39,715.6
Balance +208.2 +111.7 +8.3 +1,186.8
DYNAMICS OF TRADE
(pct y/y change)
nominal imports +19.8 +34.5 -26.7 -23.4
nominal exports +25.9 +32.1 -25.2 -19.8
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK EU-NORM INFLATION JULY 10 JUNE 10 JULY 09
pct change mo/mo +0.1 0.0 -0.1
pct change yr/yr +1.0 +0.7 +0.6
SLOVAK HEADLINE CPI JULY 10 JUNE 10 JULY 09
pct change mo/mo +0.1 0.0 0.0
pct change yr/yr +1.1 +1.0 +1.7
SLOVAK CORE CPI
pct change mo/mo +0.1 0.0 +0.2
pct change yr/yr +1.4 +1.1 +1.3
---------------------------------------------------------------
CENTRAL STATE BUDGET JAN-JULY/10 JAN-JULY/09 FY 2010 PLAN
(mln euro)
revenues 6,035.118 5,799.470 12,530.994
expenditure 8,443.044 6,713.906 16,277.000
balance -2,407.926 -914.436 -3,746.006
---------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCER PRICES JUNE/10 MAY/10 JUNE/09
pct change month/month +0.3 +1.0 0.0
pct change year/year +0.8 +0.5 -7.6
---------------------------------------------------------------
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT JUNE 10 MAY 10 JUNE 09
pct change yr/yr +23.5 +28.7 (+31.0) -19.5
---------------------------------------------------------------
INDUSTRIAL ORDERS JUNE 10 MAY 10 JUNE 09
pct change m/m +1.3 +2.6 +8.8
pct change y/y +30.1 +41.8 -23.6
volume
(mln euro) 2,866.8 2,857.8 2,213.8
---------------------------------------------------------------
CONSTRUCTION OUPUT JUNE 10 MAY 10 JUNE 09
pct change yr/yr -6.6 -8.9 -0.3
---------------------------------------------------------------
SELECTED SECTOR SALES JUNE 10 MAY 10 JUNE 09 JAN-DEC 09
(pct change yr/yr)
Retail sales +1.0 -3.1 -10.7 -10.3
Vehicle sales
and maintenance -12.7 -14.3 -6.2 -17.9
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK AVG WAGES Q1/10 Q4/09 Q1/09 FY/09
real pct change yr/yr +1.6 +1.6 +1.7 +1.4
nominal pct change yr/yr +2.1 +2.1 +4.7 +3.0
SLOVAK INDUSTRIAL WAGES MAY 09 APRIL 09 MAY 08 FY/08
real pct change yr/yr -3.4 -0.3 +3.2 +2.8
nominal pct change yr/yr -1.3 +2.0 +7.9 +7.5
---------------------------------------------------------------
*SLOVAK UNEMPLOYMENT JULY 10 JUNE 10 JULY 09
pct of workforce 12.33 12.34 12.07
number of available jobless 331,225 331,655 319,937
---------------------------------------------------------------
ECONOMIC FORECASTS: GDP EU-NORM CPI C/A DATE
'10 '11 '10 '11 '10 '11
FinMin +3.2 +3.8 +1.0 +2.8 -3.5 -3.9 June 14
NBS +3.7 +4.3 +0.8 +2.7 -3.3 -2.0 June 15
EC +2.7 +3.6 +1.3 +2.8 -4.5 -4.1 May 5
Notes:
FinMin - Finance Ministry
NBS - National Bank of Slovakia
- GDP - Real gross domestic product growth (pct change yr/yr)
- EU-NORM CPI - Annual average consumer price index, calculated under the EU
methodology (pct)
- C/A - Current account deficit (pct of GDP)
- DATE - The date of the forecast release