* Euro recovers to trade flat; stocks led down by miners
* Bunds up ahead of Italy auction; peripheral spreads widen
* U.S. Q4 GDP numbers eyed
By Simon Jessop
LONDON, Jan 28 (Reuters) - The euro's rally against the
dollar paused near a two-month high on Friday and stocks were
weaker as investors cashed in ahead of U.S. fourth-quarter GDP
numbers.
Set to end the week in the black, the euro <EUR=> traded
flat against the dollar by 1151 GMT, also giving back some of
its gains against the yen <JPY=> following Thursday's sell-off
after Standard & Poor's cut Japan's sovereign credit rating.
More broadly, the single currency remains supported by the
European Central Bank's hawkish tone on interest rates, Tom
Levinson, currency strategist at ING, said, with markets now
pricing in more than one 25 basis point hike by year-end.
"Barring a nasty return of sovereign debt-related concern
(still likely at some point), the likelihood of the ECB leading
the Fed by some distance in its tightening cycle suggests
EUR/USD can rise further," he added.
The dollar gave up early gains against a basket of major
currencies <.DXY> to trade down 0.1 percent by 1152 GMT.
Stocks retraced some of their early declines and by 1152
GMT, the benchmark FTSEurofirst 300 index <> of leading
European shares was down 0.1 percent, led by mining stocks and
remaining up 0.4 percent on the week.
U.S. stock futures pointed to a flat open on Wall Street,
after the DJIA closed at a more than 2-1/2-year high on
Thursday.
"We expect equity markets to move into a consolidation phase
in the next couple of months," said Tammo Greetfeld, equity
strategist at UniCredit.
"People are waiting for the U.S. GDP figures, but it would
only move the market in a big way if the figures significantly
deviate from the consensus."
The slight weakness in European shares continued a
broad-based sell-off in Asia overnight, with Japanese stocks hit
by the previous day's S&P sovereign downgrade and other indices
by inflation concerns.
In Asia, Japan's Nikkei average <> ended down 1.1
percent, while the MSCI world equity index <.MIWD00000PUS> and
Thomson Reuters global stock index <.TRXFLDGLPU> were both
trading down 0.2 percent by 1153 GMT.
Emerging market stocks <.MSCIEF> fared worse, falling 0.6
percent.
The pace of economic recovery in the United States, efforts
to stem the euro zone debt crisis and concerns about building
inflationary pressures continue to guide markets across the
region against the backdrop of the quarterly earnings season.
Fourth quarter U.S. GDP numbers, due out at 1330 GMT, are
expected to show the world's biggest economy posted the best
quarterly growth since the first quarter of last year, although
unemployment is still seen stubbornly high. []
Figures on Thursday showed positive U.S. housing and factory
data but higher than expected jobless claims. []
BUNDS UP, ITALY EYED
Bund futures <FGBLc1> rose in early trade, tracking U.S.
Treasuries, and peripheral euro zone spreads widened, with
traders eyeing an auction of Italian debt later in the session.
Rome plans to auction up to 6.75 billion euros of 2- and
10-year notes, and healthy bid interest would reiterate the
market's willingness to accept more peripheral paper.
"Italian supply and U.S. GDP are the pick of the day today,"
a trader said. "Demand at the Italian auction should be
reasonable. The market may get some concession built in but the
bonds are pretty cheap in that part of the curve."
Peripheral spreads over bunds edged wider after a report
Germany was determined to enforce Ireland's bailout terms and
would not support an enlargement of the region's rescue fund.
U.S. Treasuries had traded steady overnight in Asia,
although both the U.S. and Japan were warned to tackle their
debt burden by the International Monetary Fund. []
Spot gold <XAU=> slumped to a four-month low as safe-haven
flows waned in the face of the improving U.S. economic outlook,
while benchmark U.S. crude oil <CLc1> traded up 0.2 percent but
remains near a two-month low.
(Additional reporting by William James, Nia Williams, Anirban
Nag, Naomi Tajitsu and Atul Prakash; editing by Toby Chopra,
John Stonestreet)