(Updated on Sept 16 with industrial orders)
NEW LISTINGS OR AMENDMENTS ARE MARKED* KEY INTEREST RATES ECB'S TWO-WEEK REPO rate (pct) 1.00 last changed MAY 7, 2009 former rate (pct) 1.25 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK REAL GDP Q2/10 Q1/10 Q2/09 FY/09 (pct change yr/yr) +4.7 +4.8 -5.5 -4.7 Final consumption Household -1.0 +0.4 +1.9 -0.7 Government -1.2 +6.2 +6.9 +2.8 Gross fixed capital
formation -1.9 -0.4 -17.7 -10.5 Foreign trade balance
exports of goods
and services +16.5 +16.8 -20.3 -16.5
imports of goods
and services +14.4 +9.9 -22.2 -17.6
--------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK REAL GDP (pct change yr/yr) FY/2009 -4.7 FY/2008 +6.2 (+6.4) FY/2007 +10.6 (+10.4) FY/2006 +8.5 (+8.3) FY/2005 +6.7 (+6.6) FY/2004 +5.0 (+5.2) FY/2003 +4.8 (+4.8) FY/2002 +4.6 (+4.8) FY/2001 +3.5 (+3.4) FY/2000 +1.4 (+1.4) -------------------------------------------------------------- C/A BALANCE JUNE/10 MAY/10 JUNE/09 (mln euro) -31.0 -108.0 -134.0 C/A BALANCE END-2009 END-2008 (bln euro) -1.938 -4.433 -------------------------------------------------------------- FOREIGN TRADE JULY 10 JUNE 10 JULY 09 JAN-DEC 09 (mln euro) Imports 3,851.1 4,048.5 3,030.9 38,528.7 Exports 3,757.3 4,168.1 3,059.9 39,715.6 Balance -93.8 +137.5 +29.0 +1,186.8 DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change) nominal imports +27.1 +24.8 -28.5 -23.4 nominal exports +22.8 +28.7 -25.6 -19.8 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK EU-NORM INFLATION AUG 10 JULY 10 AUG 09 pct change mo/mo -0.1 +0.1 -0.2 pct change yr/yr +1.1 +1.0 +0.5 SLOVAK HEADLINE CPI AUG 10 JULY 10 AUG 09 pct change mo/mo -0.1 +0.1 -0.1 pct change yr/yr +1.0 +1.1 +1.3 SLOVAK CORE CPI pct change mo/mo -0.3 +0.1 -0.2 pct change yr/yr +1.2 +1.4 -0.2 --------------------------------------------------------------- CENTRAL STATE BUDGET JAN-JULY/10 JAN-JULY/09 FY 2010 PLAN (mln euro) revenues 6,035.118 5,799.470 12,530.994 expenditure 8,443.044 6,713.906 16,277.000 balance -2,407.926 -914.436 -3,746.006 --------------------------------------------------------------- PRODUCER PRICES JUNE/10 MAY/10 JUNE/09 pct change month/month +0.3 +1.0 0.0 pct change year/year +0.8 +0.5 -7.6 --------------------------------------------------------------- INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT JULY 10 JUNE 10 JULY 09 pct change yr/yr +16.8 +23.5 (+23.5) -21.5 --------------------------------------------------------------- *INDUSTRIAL ORDERS JULY 10 JUNE 10 JULY 09 pct change m/m -2.8 +1.4 +3.1 pct change y/y +22.9 +30.1 -25.5 volume (mln euro) 2,614.0 2,866.8 2,119.0 --------------------------------------------------------------- CONSTRUCTION OUPUT JULY 10 JUNE 10 JULY 09
pct change yr/yr -3.3 -6.6 -5.5 --------------------------------------------------------------- SELECTED SECTOR SALES JULY 10 JUNE 10 JULY 09 JAN-DEC 09 (pct change yr/yr) Retail sales -1.6 +1.0 -10.2 -10.3 Vehicle sales and maintenance -10.5 -12.7 -12.5 -17.9 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK AVG WAGES Q2/10 Q1/10 Q2/09 FY/09 real pct change yr/yr +2.4 +1.6 +0.9 +1.4 nominal pct change yr/yr +3.6 +2.1 +2.8 +3.0 SLOVAK INDUSTRIAL WAGES MAY 09 APRIL 09 MAY 08 FY/08 real pct change yr/yr -3.4 -0.3 +3.2 +2.8 nominal pct change yr/yr -1.3 +2.0 +7.9 +7.5 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK UNEMPLOYMENT JULY 10 JUNE 10 JULY 09 pct of workforce 12.33 12.34 12.07 number of available jobless 331,225 331,655 319,937 --------------------------------------------------------------- ECONOMIC FORECASTS: GDP EU-NORM CPI C/A DATE
'10 '11 '10 '11 '10 '11
FinMin +4.0 +3.3 +1.0 +3.5 -2.2 -2.3 Sept 14
NBS +3.7 +4.3 +0.8 +2.7 -3.3 -2.0 June 15
EC +2.7 +3.6 +1.3 +2.8 -4.5 -4.1 May 5 Notes: FinMin - Finance Ministry NBS - National Bank of Slovakia - GDP - Real gross domestic product growth (pct change yr/yr) - EU-NORM CPI - Annual average consumer price index, calculated under the EU methodology (pct) - C/A - Current account deficit (pct of GDP) - DATE - The date of the forecast release