(last updated March 31)
NEW LISTINGS OR AMENDMENTS ARE MARKED*
KEY INTEREST RATES ECB'S TWO-WEEK REPO
rate (pct) 1.00
last changed MAY 7, 2009
former rate (pct) 1.25
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK REAL GDP Q4/09 Q3/09 Q4/08 FY/09
(pct change yr/yr) -2.6 -4.9 +1.6 -4.7
Final consumption
Household -1.9 -0.3 +4.5 -0.7
Government +2.9 -0.2 +4.0 +2.8
Gross fixed capital
formation -7.3 -11.4 -7.2 -10.5
Foreign trade balance
exports of goods
and services -5.2 -15.0 -7.6 -16.5
imports of goods
and services -10.3 -15.4 -7.8 -17.6
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK REAL GDP (pct change yr/yr)
FY/2009 -4.7
FY/2008 +6.2 (+6.4)
FY/2007 +10.6 (+10.4)
FY/2006 +8.5 (+8.3)
FY/2005 +6.7 (+6.6)
FY/2004 +5.0 (+5.2)
FY/2003 +4.8 (+4.8)
FY/2002 +4.6 (+4.8)
FY/2001 +3.5 (+3.4)
FY/2000 +1.4 (+1.4)
--------------------------------------------------------------
*C/A BALANCE JAN/10 DEC/09 JAN/09
(mln euro) -223.0 -520.0 -417.0
C/A BALANCE END-2009 END-2008
(bln euro) -1.938 -4.433
--------------------------------------------------------------
FOREIGN TRADE JAN 10 DEC 09 JAN 09 JAN-DEC 09
(mln euro)
Imports 3,108.1 3,304.6 2,993.8 38,528.7
Exports 3,139.4 3,237.5 2,710.7 39,715.6
Balance +31.4 -67.1 -283.1 +1,186.8
DYNAMICS OF TRADE
(pct y/y change)
nominal imports +3.8 +0.9 -26.9 -23.4
nominal exports +15.8 +11.3 -34.7 -19.8
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK EU-NORM INFLATION FEB 10 JAN 10 FEB 09
pct change mo/mo 0.0 +0.1 0.0
pct change yr/yr -0.2 -0.2 +2.4
SLOVAK HEADLINE CPI FEB 10 JAN 10 FEB 09
pct change mo/mo 0.0 +0.2 0.0
pct change yr/yr +0.4 +0.4 +3.0
SLOVAK CORE CPI
pct change mo/mo +0.2 +0.7 0.0
pct change yr/yr +0.4 +0.2 +2.0
---------------------------------------------------------------
CENTRAL STATE BUDGET JAN-FEB/10 JAN-FEB/09 FY 2010 PLAN
(mln euro)
revenues 1,461.408 1,411.017 12,530.994
expenditure 2,241.684 1,596.096 16,277.000
balance -780.276 -185.079 -3,746.006
---------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCER PRICES FEB/10 JAN/10 FEB/09
pct change month/month -1.6 -1.7 +0.5
pct change year/year -7.4 -5.4 +1.8
---------------------------------------------------------------
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT JAN 10 DEC 09 JAN 09
pct change yr/yr +19.3 +12.0 (+11.9) -28.2
---------------------------------------------------------------
INDUSTRIAL ORDERS JAN/10 DEC/09 JAN/09
pct change m/m -4.5 +1.7 -1.1
pct change y/y +24.6 +22.8 -36.9
volume
(mln euro) 2,280.5 2,217.0 1,879.4
---------------------------------------------------------------
CONSTRUCTION OUPUT JAN 09 DEC 09 JAN 09
pct change yr/yr -8.1 -18.2 -25.6
--------------------------------------------------------------
SELECTED SECTOR SALES JAN 10 DEC 09 JAN 09 JAN-DEC 09
(pct change yr/yr)
Retail sales -2.9 -9.2 -6.5 -10.3
Vehicle sales
and maintenance -2.8 -11.5 -34.0 -17.9
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK AVG WAGES Q3/09 Q2/09 Q3/08 FY/08
real pct change yr/yr +1.3 +0.5 +3.5 +3.3
nominal pct change yr/yr +2.5 +2.8 +8.8 +8.1
SLOVAK INDUSTRIAL WAGES MAY 09 APRIL 09 MAY 08 FY/08
real pct change yr/yr -3.4 -0.3 +3.2 +2.8
nominal pct change yr/yr -1.3 +2.0 +7.9 +7.5
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK UNEMPLOYMENT FEB 10 JAN 10 FEB 09
pct of workforce 12.97 12.89 9.72
number of available jobless 348,419 346,379 257,564
---------------------------------------------------------------
ECONOMIC FORECASTS:
GDP EU-NORM CPI C/A DATE
'10 '11 '10 '11 '10 '11
FinMin +2.8 +3.3 +1.7 +3.4 -3.5 -3.9 Feb 10
NBS +3.2 +4.4 +0.7 +2.4 -3.2 -1.6 March 30
Notes:
FinMin - Finance Ministry
NBS - National Bank of Slovakia
EC - the European Commission
EBRD - European Bank for Reconstruction and Development
GDP - Real gross domestic product growth (pct change yr/yr)
EU-NORM CPI - Annual average consumer price index, calculated
under the EU methodology (pct).
C/A - Current account deficit (pct of GDP)
DATE - The date of the forecast release.
