Nov 25 (Reuters) - The following is a half-yearly Reuters
poll of key Czech macroeconomic data for 2009-2010, comprising
13 responses received between November 20 and November 24:
CONSUMER PRICE IDX REAL GDP CNB 2-WK REPO RATE
2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010
MDN 2.2 2.5 2.7 3.6 2.25 3.00
AVG 2.2 2.4 2.4 3.6 2.21 3.07
MIN 1.3 1.5 -1.0 2.9 1.00 2.25
MAX 2.8 3.5 3.0 4.3 3.00 3.50
MODE 2.1 2.5 3.0 4.0 2.50 3.50
FOREIGN TRADE BAL GEN.GOVT DEFICIT EX.RATES CZK/EUR
2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010
MDN 77.6 90.0 2.1 1.9 24.70 23.80
AVG 85.9 99.4 2.5 2.1 24.88 23.80
MIN 45.0 65.0 1.7 1.5 24.00 23.20
MAX 155.0 170.0 5.0 3.4 27.00 24.50
MODE 70.0 90.0 1.8 1.6 n/a 23.90
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NOTE. The poll, which was conducted from November 20 to
November 24, was comprised of 13 responses from analysts
routinely covering the Czech market. All forecasts are for end
of year data.
Real gross domestic product (GDP) forecasts are for the full
year compared with the previous year. Inflation forecasts are
for December data year-on-year.
KEY:
MDN = The median response of all responses.
AVG = The mean of all responses.
MIN = The lowest numerical forecast of all responses.
MAX = The highest numerical forecast of all responses.
MODE = The most frequent forecast of all responses.
INDIVIDUAL RESPONSES:
(Numbers at far left correspond to analysts listed below)
CONSUMER PRICE IDX REAL GDP CNB 2-WK REPO RATE
2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010
1) 2.0 2.5 3.0 4.2 3.00 3.50
2) 2.1 2.4 2.5 3.5 2.50 3.50
3) 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.8 2.25 3.00
4) 1.5 3.5 3.0 4.0 2.50 2.75
5) 2.2 2.5 3.0 4.0 2.00 n/a
6) 2.1 2.1 2.8 3.3 2.00 3.00
7) 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.4 2.75 2.25
8) 1.3 n/a -1.0 n/a 1.00 n/a
9) 2.8 2.1 2.7 3.0 2.00 3.50
10) 2.5 1.6 2.9 4.3 2.00 2.50
11) 2.8 1.5 2.4 3.7 2.50 3.50
12) 1.9 2.6 2.5 2.9 1.75 3.25
13) 2.4 2.6 2.1 3.3 2.50 3.00
FOREIGN TRADE BAL GEN.GOVT DEFICIT EX.RATES CZK/EUR
2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010
1) 90.0 95.0 1.8 2.0 24.70 23.90
2) 70.0 76.0 2.1 1.6 24.10 23.40
3) 66.0 90.0 2.0 1.8 25.25 23.90
4) 70.0 85.0 n/a n/a 24.00 23.50
5) 155.0 170.0 2.0 n/a 24.30 n/a
6) 90.0 100.0 n/a n/a 24.25 23.75
7) 120.0 160.0 1.7 1.5 25.30 23.50
8) n/a n/a 5.0 n/a 27.00 n/a
9) 85.1 81.6 1.8 2.5 25.00 24.00
10) 70.0 75.0 n/a n/a 24.40 23.20
11) 55.0 65.0 2.5 1.6 25.10 24.40
12) 45.0 90.0 2.9 3.4 24.60 23.80
13) 115.0 105.0 2.9 2.7 25.50 24.50
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Organization Name(s)
1) Atlantik FT Petr Sklenar
2) Ceska Sporitelna David Navratil
3) Citibank Jaromir Sindel
4) CN Finance Pavel Capouch
5) CSOB unit of KBC Petr Dufek
6) Generali PPF Asset Management Radomir Jac
7) ING Wholesale Banking Vojtech Benda
8) JP Morgan Miroslav Plojhar
9) Komercni Banka Economic & Strategy Research
10) Next Finance Marketa Sichtarova
& Vladimir Pikora
11) Patria Finance David Marek & Tomas Vlk
12) Raiffeisenbank Economic Research
13) UniCredit Global Research Pavel Sobisek
& Patrik Rozumbersky
For a story on the poll, click on []
(Reporting by Mirka Krufova)
