* Dollar near 2010 lows against basket of currencies
* Technicals show new $90-$93 range []
* Coming Up: U.S. Non-farm payrolls Oct; 1230 GMT
(Adds Barclays Capital comment, Fed graphics, updates prices)
By Alejandro Barbajosa
SINGAPORE, Nov 5 (Reuters) - Oil rose to a two-year high on
Friday, recovering almost half the territory lost from a
mid-2008 record to the low at the deepest point of the
recession.
A new round of economic stimulus in the U.S. is boosting
the appeal of commodities to preserve value in an environment
of dollar depreciation, while a sluggish but sustained economic
recovery in industrialized economies and rampant growth in
emerging Asia are raising demand for energy and raw materials.
"Inventories are getting lower and demand is getting
better, but the issue that we have to look at is the financial
side and the injection of money," said Tetsu Emori, a fund
manager at Tokyo-based Astmax Co Ltd. "That should push up the
oil price. We don't really need to look at the fundamentals."
U.S. crude for December <CLc1> touched $87.22 a barrel, the
highest intra-day price since Oct. 9, 2008, surpassing this
year's previous peak of $87.15 on May 3. It was up 48 cents at
$86.97 at 0711 GMT, posting gains of almost 7 percent this
week.
ICE Brent <LCOc1> gained 55 cents to $88.54, approaching
the top of the $70-$90 price range that Saudi Arabian oil
minister this week said was acceptable to both producers and
consumers. []
While the first round of stimulus by the U.S. Federal
Reserve in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis helped the
world's largest economy avert a depression, the price of oil
plummeted from an all-time high of $147.27 in July to a low of
$32.40 by December of that year.
"There certainly does seem to be a renewed sense of urgency
in the oil market, with a growing perception that the cycle is
changing and a sense that the final debris from 2008 and 2009
is being cleared away," said Barclays Capital analysts headed
by Paul Horsnell.
"If (the new round of Fed stimulus) helps remove residual
concerns about tail end economic outcomes, then it may help
remove what had been an obstacle to some traders to getting
more decisively long in oil."
Markets focused on a monthly U.S. jobs report due later on
Friday, the last before fresh Fed bond purchases kick in, while
oil prices remained supported by Wednesday's data showing
larger-than-expected drops in U.S. fuel stocks last week.
<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
For more on the Fed decision, click: []
For a PDF on what comes after the Fed decision:
http://r.reuters.com/cyh73q
FACTBOX on policymaker reaction to Fed: []
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DOLLAR SLUMP
The dollar paused near fresh lows on Friday after breaking
down to a new 2010 trough against a basket of currencies, but
investor appetite for risk was expected to continue and grind
the low-yielding greenback down. []
The Fed on Wednesday launched a new round of quantitative
easing, or government debt purchases, to support a struggling
U.S. economy, saying it would buy about $75 billion of Treasury
bonds per month through the end of June 2011 and could adjust
purchases depending on the pace of economic recovery.
U.S. employment probably increased in October for the first
time since May, a Reuters survey showed, but too feebly to
signal a meaningful shift in the almost stagnant labor market.
That should leave the unemployment rate at an elevated 9.6
percent in October. []
New U.S. claims for jobless aid rose last week and a strong
rebound in productivity in the third quarter showed employers
wringing more output from current workers rather than hiring.
[]
Global oil demand next year could bounce back to levels
last seen in 2007 as recovery from the deepest recession in
decades drives fuel use, but the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC) does not plan to add extra capacity
as more non-OPEC supply curbs the need. []
OPEC'S NEW RANGE
An oil price of $90 a barrel would not hold back the world
economy, OPEC's secretary general said on Thursday, a higher
level than previously identified as posing no risk to growth.
[]
JP Morgan on Thursday raised its forecasts for U.S. crude
benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) in 2011 by more than $7
to $89.75 a barrel, while the bank projects Brent will average
$2 higher, after the Fed's decision to embark on new stimulus.
"As we approach the winter, it is no longer appropriate to
talk about burdensomely high inventory levels," JP Morgan
analysts headed by Lawrence Eagles said. "Floating stocks of
crude have been whittled away, and tightening forward spreads
show the crude market to be in draw mode."
Seasonal refinery maintenance and the French strike last
month have depleted oil product stocks, leaving gasoline
inventories at the lower end of their five-year range in OECD
Europe and Asia, according to JP Morgan.
China's top refineries will process a record high volume of
crude oil in November after Beijing hiked fuel prices, as
domestic fuel stocks were running low and diesel shortages were
spreading in some regions. []
The Reuters-Jefferies CRB index <.CRB>, a global
commodities benchmark, rose above 312 points on Thursday to its
highest since October 2008. Gold, a traditional haven for
investors shunning dollars and hedging against inflation, hit a
new record high above $1,390 an ounce <XAU=>. []
World stocks soared to highs last seen before Lehman
Brothers' collapse in 2008 and the dollar fell sharply on
Thursday on rising risk appetite in the afterglow of the
Federal Reserve's asset buying plan. []
Asian stocks climbed for a fifth day on Friday, with
commodity-related shares putting markets in the region on a
path to outperform other parts of the world. Japan's Nikkei
average jumped 2.9 percent and booked its best week in a year.
[]
(Editing by Manash Goswami)
