* Zloty, forint ease as risk aversion returns
* Polish zloty supported by rate hike calls in longer-term
* Czech, Romanian data gives slight support to CZK, RON
(Updates throughout)
By Jason Hovet and Dagmara Leszkowicz
PRAGUE/WARSAW, Nov 8 (Reuters) - The Polish zloty and Hungary's forint eased on Monday, as renewed worries over the euro zone periphery pushed the euro down versus the dollar, while better-than-expected data gave a slight boost to the Czech crown and Romania's leu.
The U.S. Federal Reserve's decision last week to buy $600 billion in U.S. Treasury bonds in a second round of quantitative easing gave a boost to emerging Europe, but the region has since given up some gains as the euro, its main reference currency, has weakened.
"Risk aversion is back in the game," said one Warsaw-based dealer. "Fears over heavily-indebted euro zone peripheral countries returned and investors are trimming their risk by selling riskier assets."
Five-year credit default swaps widened across the region, with the Polish CDS up almost 6 basis points to 117, Hungary's some 5 basis points to 292.3 and Romania's CDS up 4 points to 265.1.
By 1458 GMT the Polish zloty <EURPLN=> led losses, falling 0.3 percent versus the euro, while Hungary's forint <EURHUF=> was down 0.2 percent.
The Czech crown <ERUCZK=> was virtually flat to the euro, while Romania's leu <EURRON=> edged some 0.1 percent higher.
Romanian industrial output rose in September, data showed, and output growth in the Czech Republic was stronger than expected, giving a slight boost to those countries' currencies. [
], [ ]Also, Romania sold the planned amount of one-year T-bills with the average yield rising to 7.07 percent, but analysts said it was too early to say whether the finance ministry has abandoned a self-imposed yield cap of 7 percent. [
]According to a Reuters poll published last Wednesday, the region's units are expected to rebound in the longer term, thanks to an economic recovery and rising investor flows into emerging markets as a result of the Fed easing [
].
HIKES SUPPORT ZLOTY
Economists at Commerzbank said the Polish zloty is also supported by recent comments of the central bank's Monetary Policy Council members on interest rate hikes.
"This (appreciation trend on the zloty) is likely to continue over the coming weeks, as markets have ... already priced in a 50 basis points rate rise over the next three months," Commerzbank wrote in a note.
Interest rates in Poland have remained unchanged for 16 months, with the key interest rate at a record low of 3.5 percent. --------------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT-------------------- Currency Latest Previous Local Local
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today in 2010 Czech crown <EURCZK=> 24.561 24.563 +0.01% +7.15% Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 3.924 3.913 -0.28% +4.59% Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 274.5 273.85 -0.24% -1.51% Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.346 7.347 +0.01% -0.5% Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.286 4.288 +0.05% -1.13% Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 107.01 106.97 -0.04% -10.4% Yield Spreads Czech treasury bonds <0#CZBMK=> 2-yr T-bond CZ2YT=RR -5 basis points to 78bps over bmk* 7-yr T-bond CZ7YT=RR +2 basis points to +103bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond CZ9YT=RR +6 basis points to +113bps over bmk* Polish treasury bonds <0#PLBMK=> 2-yr T-bond PL2YT=RR 0 basis points to +389bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond PL5YT=RR +2 basis points to +372bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond PL10YT=RR +4 basis points to +326bps over bmk* Hungarian treasury bonds <0#HUBMK=> 3-yr T-bond HU3YT=RR +6 basis points to +564bps over bmk* 5-yr T-bond HU5YT=RR +5 basis points to +531bps over bmk* 10-yr T-bond HU10YT=RR +10 basis points to +472bps over bmk* *Benchmark is German bond equivalent. All data taken from Reuters at 1558 CET. Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic close at 1600 GMT. For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news [
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