* Re-valuation effect on demand may outweigh lower exports
* Oil pares gains after yuan mid-point left unchanged
* Coming Up: China final commodity May trade data
* For a technical view, click: []
By Alejandro Barbajosa
SINGAPORE, June 21 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose 1.4 percent
on Monday, the highest since mid May, as China vowed at the
weekend to allow a flexible yuan exchange rate, raising
expectations of higher crude imports by the world's No. 2 oil
user.
U.S. crude for July delivery <CLc1> rose as much as $1.09
to $78.27, the highest since May 10. It temporarily pared gains
after China on Monday set the yuan mid-point unchanged from
Friday, and was up 87 cents at $78.05 at 0139 GMT.
[]
China announced on Saturday that it would resume making the
yuan more flexible, signalling that it was ready to break a
23-month-old peg to the dollar that had come under intense
international criticism. []
But in a lengthy statement about how reform would proceed,
the central bank explicitly ruled out a one-off revaluation,
repeatedly said there was no basis for any big appreciation and
added that the currency's value was not far off its fair level.
A flexible yuan could potentially strengthen against the
dollar and render Chinese imports of dollar-denominated oil
cheaper, fanning energy consumption.
"China is important for the global oil market and an
appreciating yuan is gong to help fuel its imports," said Ben
Westmore, a commodities analyst at National Australia Bank.
"But you are going to struggle to see oil break to the
upside without a great deal of clarity about the euro situation
yet," Westmore said, adding prices were unlikely to surpass
their early-May 19-month peak above $87 before the end of the
year.
Oil has recovered about 21 percent from a trough below $65
a month ago, but is still $9 lower than the 2010 peak.
ICE Brent crude for August <LCOc1> rose as much as $1.17 to
$79.39 a barrel on Monday, the highest price since May 14, and
was up 90 cents at $79.12.
Global stocks, commodity-linked currencies and other
higher-yielding currencies may receive an immediate boost this
week in response to China's decision on the yuan. []
Japan's Nikkei average powered to a one-month high on
Monday, but Shanghai's Composite Index opened up a marginal 0.2
percent and S&P futures trimmed gains after the yuan's
mid-point was left unchanged from Friday. []
Analysts have also said China's move towards a more
flexible yuan was likely to be taken as a vote of confidence in
the global economic recovery's staying power. []
World stocks gained for a ninth straight day on Friday on
improved risk appetite after a Spanish bond auction eased fears
about sovereign debt in Europe and helped the euro hold near
three-week highs. []
In a sign of normalisation, Wall Street's fear gauge, the
Volatility Index <.VIX>, tumbled below 24 on Friday after
setting a 14-month high above 47 in May.
BP Plc <BP.L> <BP.N> estimates that a worst-case scenario
rate for the Gulf of Mexico oil spill could be about 100,000
barrels of oil per day, according to an internal company
document released on Sunday by a senior U.S. congressional
Democrat. []
(Editing by Ed Lane)