PRAGUE, Oct 21 (Reuters) - The Czech left-wing Social
Democrats (CSSD) extended their opinion poll lead over the main
rightist party, the Civic Democrats (ODS), ahead of an election
in mid-2010, a survey showed on Wednesday.
The poll by the CVVM agency showed backing for the Social
Democrats in October held steady from September at 32 percent,
while support for the right-wing Civic Democrats shrank to 26
percent from 28.5 percent.
No party is expected to win an outright majority in the
election, due in May next year after a plan to hold an early
ballot in October was struck down by the Constitutional Court.
The poll showed various majority coalitions would be possible.
Backing for the newly-formed conservative party TOP09 rose
to 14.0 percent from 12.5 percent while backing for the far-left
Communists also rose, up to 15 percent from 12 percent.
Support for the Greens rose to 4 percent from 3 percent,
close to the 5 percent threshold needed to gain entry to
parliament.
The Czech Republic has been run by a non-partisan government
since the leftist parties toppled a right-centre Civic
Democrat-led coalition government in March.
A plan to hold an early ballot in October was struck down by
the Constitutional Court last month.
DATE INSTITUTE ODS CSSD KSCM TOP09 KDU-CSL Greens
Oct 21/09 CVVM 26.0 32.0 15.0 14.0 5.5 4.0
Oct 08/09 CVVM 28.5 32.0 12.0 12.5 6.0 3.0
Oct 02/09 STEM 23.2 27.4 10.6 9.2 4.2 4.6
Sept 16/09 CVVM 29.5 29.5 15.5 13.0 5.5 4.5
Aug 31/09 STEM 24.1 29.0 11.2 6.8 5.7 2.7
Aug 19/09 CVVM 31.0 33.0 13.5 9.5 5.0 3.0
June 25/09 CVVM 35.0 30.0 16.0 2.0 6.5 5.5
June 19/09 STEM 28.3 28.2 12.8 - 6.2 2.7
May 19/09 STEM 23.7 32.4 10.9 - 5.3 5.9
May 19/09 CVVM 29.0 38.0 15.0 - 7.0 6.5
April 15/09 CVVM 28.0 37.5 15.5 - 7.0 7.0
April 15/09 STEM 27.5 35.1 10.5 - 4.4 5.6
March 18/09 CVVM 31.5 36.0 16.0 - 5.0 7.0
March 17/09 STEM 27.8 35.3 11.0 - 6.0 5.3
Feb 18/09 CVVM 29.0 38.5 15.5 - 7.0 6.0
Feb 13/09 STEM 25.5 35.2 11.8 - 6.8 5.1
Jan 28/09 CVVM 29.0 41.0 14.0 - 5.5 7.0
Jan 16/09 STEM 22.5 37.7 9.9 - 6.5 5.8
Dec 19/08 STEM 23.5 38.4 11.4 - 5.4 6.3
Dec 17/08 CVVM 27.0 44.5 14.0 - 6.0 6.0
Nov 21/08 CVVM 27.5 43.0 11.5 - 6.5 8.0
Nov 18/08 STEM 21.1 37.7 9.6 - 5.6 5.6
Oct 30/08 STEM 21.4 33.3 12.0 - 6.1 7.1
Oct 29/08 CVVM 26.5 40.0 14.5 - 7.0 8.5
Sept 17/08 CVVM 29.0 34.0 16.0 - 7.5 10.0
Sept 16/08 STEM 22.3 32.6 11.8 - 5.9 8.4
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June 2006 election 35.4 32.3 12.8 - 7.2 6.3
NOTE. The CVVM poll was conducted between October5 and
October 12 among 1,071 eligible Czech voters.
The parties are:
- Civic Democratic Party (ODS) - right-of-centre,
liberal-conservative
- The Czech Social Democratic Party (CSSD) - leftist
- The Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia (KSCM) - far left
- The new conservative party TOP 09
- Christian Democratic Union-Czechoslovak People's Party
(KDU-CSL) - centrist
- The Greens - environmentalists, centrist
Pollsters: The CVVM results are based on a model predicting
gains at the ballot box, excluding those not willing to vote and
undecided.
STEM results are direct voter preferences, and include
replies from all respondents including those not willing to
vote. Parties should thus win a larger than indicated share of
the vote at the election.
(Reporting by Mirka Krufova; editing by Patrick Graham)
