UPDATE 9-Oil rockets to record $122 on dollar, supply worry

                                
 (Updates prices)
                                
 By Matthew Robinson
                                
 NEW YORK, May 6 (Reuters) - Oil shot to a record above $122
a barrel on Tuesday on supply worries and the weak dollar,
extending a rally that has doubled prices over the past year and
has some experts forecasting a potential spike to $200.
                                
 U.S. crude <CLc1> settled up $1.87 at $121.84 a barrel
after touching a record $122.73 earlier. London Brent crude
<LCOc1> gained $2.32 to $120.31 a barrel, after hitting a
record $120.99.
                                
 Rising tensions with Iran, after the world's No. 4 oil
producer refused to accept inspections of its nuclear program
that the West fears could be linked to weapons, stirred supply
concerns from the OPEC nation. [ID:nL05474341]
                                
 Nigerian disruptions from militant attacks and a strike
have also underpinned prices since late April, adding to gains
that have sent prices for oil up about six-fold since 2002 as
part of a wider commodity surge. [ID:nL06909102].
                                
 Growing demand from emerging markets like China has
supported the oil rally, as supplies struggle to keep pace,
with further strength for dollar-denominated commodities coming
from the slumping greenback.
                                
 "Demand from China and India, the falling dollar making oil
an inflation hedge, speculation, OPEC supply restraints, supply
threats in Iran, Iraq and Nigeria and refinery bottlenecks in
the United States (are pushing up crude)," John Kilduff, senior
vice president at MF Goldman, wrote in a research note.
                                
 High oil prices have hit U.S. refiners' profit margins,
prompting some to trim runs, but stoking supply concerns as the
world's biggest oil consumer heads into the summer driving
season. Speculators have also poured cash into commodities as a
hedge against inflation since September.
                                
 The mounting supply problems and strong demand from emerging
economies prompted Goldman Sachs to forecast oil could reach
$200 a barrel within the next two years.[ID:nL06914488]
                                
 "We believe the current energy crisis may be coming to a
head, as a lack of adequate supply growth is becoming apparent,"
Goldman said in the note.
                                
 "In our view, a gradual rally in prices is likely to be
longer lasting than a sharp, sudden spike."
                                
 U.S. President George W. Bush is expected to talk with
officials from OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia about the effects of
high fuel prices on the U.S. economy on his trip to the world's
top exporter later this month. [ID:nN05395646]
                                
 Bush has called on the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries to raise output to help bring down prices,
but the cartel has blamed high prices on speculators and insists
markets are well-supplied.
                                
 Rising costs as well as wider problems with the economy have
hurt U.S. fuel demand, with the U.S. Energy Information
Administration cutting its forecast for U.S. demand by 90,000
barrels per day (bpd) in the second quarter and 100,000 bpd in
the third quarter. [ID:nN06489554]
                                
 A weekly U.S. government report on fuel inventories due out
Wednesday is expected to show a 1.6 million barrel build in
crude supplies, an 800,000 barrel rise in distillate
inventories and a 100,000 barrel decline in gasoline stocks,
according to a Reuters poll. [EIA/S]
 (Reporting by Matthew Robinson, Gene Ramos and Robert Gibbons
in New York, Jane Merriman in London, Baizhen Chua in Singapore,
editing by Matthew Lewis)