(last updated Dec 11)
NEW LISTINGS OR AMENDMENTS ARE MARKED*
KEY INTEREST RATES ECB'S TWO-WEEK REPO
rate (pct) 1.00
last changed MAY 7, 2009
former rate (pct) 1.25
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK REAL GDP Q3/09 Q2/09 Q3/08 FY/08
(pct change yr/yr) -4.8 -5.5 +6.8 +6.2
Final consumption
Household -0.3 +0.5 +6.1 +6.1
Government -0.8 +6.9 +6.1 +5.3
Gross fixed capital
formation -11.4 -17.7 +0.6 +1.8
Foreign trade balance
exports of goods
and services -15.0 -20.3 +2.9 +3.2
imports of goods
and services -17.0 -22.2 +3.6 +3.1
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK REAL GDP (pct change yr/yr)
FY/2008 +6.2 (+6.4)
FY/2007 +10.6 (+10.4)
FY/2006 +8.5 (+8.3)
FY/2005 +6.7 (+6.6)
FY/2004 +5.0 (+5.2)
FY/2003 +4.8 (+4.8)
FY/2002 +4.6 (+4.8)
FY/2001 +3.5 (+3.4)
FY/2000 +1.4 (+1.4)
--------------------------------------------------------------
C/A BALANCE SEPT/09 AUG/09
(mln euro) +90.0 +81.0
--------------------------------------------------------------
*FOREIGN TRADE OCT 09 SEPT 09 OCT 08 JAN-DEC 08
(mln euro)
Imports 3,585.6 3,431.3 4,587.4 50,280.1
Exports 3,810.9 3,688.0 4,653.9 49,522.3
Balance +225.3 +256.8 +66.4 -757.7
*DYNAMICS OF TRADE
(pct y/y change)
nominal imports -21.8 -22.6 -3.1 +4.6
nominal exports -18.1 -16.9 -2.3 +4.6
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK EU-NORM INFLATION OCT 09 SEPT 09 OCT 08
pct change mo/mo +0.2 -0.1 +0.3
pct change yr/yr -0.1 0.0 +4.2
*SLOVAK HEADLINE CPI NOV 09 OCT 09 NOV 08
pct change mo/mo +0.3 +0.1 +0.2
pct change yr/yr +0.4 +0.4 +4.9
*SLOVAK CORE CPI
pct change mo/mo +0.2 0.0 -0.2
pct change yr/yr -0.5 -0.8 +4.1
---------------------------------------------------------------
CENTRAL STATE BUDGET JAN-NOV/09 JAN-NOV/08 FY 2009 PLAN
(mln euro)
revenues 9,260.772 10,193.211 10,971.204
expenditure 10,836.934 9,875.310 14,125.291
balance -1,576.162 +317.901 -3,154.087
---------------------------------------------------------------
PRODUCER PRICES SEPT/09 AUG/09 SEPT/08
pct change month/month 0.0 -0.2 +0.6
pct change year/year -5.2 -4.6 +6.8
---------------------------------------------------------------
INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT OCT 09 SEPT 09 OCT 08
pct change yr/yr -3.8 -5.6 (-5.2) -4.0
CONSTRUCTION OUPUT OCT 09 SEPT 09 OCT 09
pct change yr/yr -22.0 -16.9 +16.3
--------------------------------------------------------------
SELECTED SECTOR SALES OCT 09 SEPT 09 OCT 08 JAN-DEC 08
(pct change yr/yr)
Retail sales -11.3 -9.2 +4.6 +9.1
Vehicle sales
and maintenance -25.4 -19.2 -3.2 +7.0
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK AVG WAGES Q3/09 Q2/09 Q3/08 FY/08
real pct change yr/yr +1.3 +0.5 +3.5 +3.3
nominal pct change yr/yr +2.5 +2.8 +8.8 +8.1
SLOVAK INDUSTRIAL WAGES MAY 09 APRIL 09 MAY 08 FY/08
real pct change yr/yr -3.4 -0.3 +3.2 +2.8
nominal pct change yr/yr -1.3 +2.0 +7.9 +7.5
---------------------------------------------------------------
SLOVAK UNEMPLOYMENT OCT 09 SEPT 09 OCT 08
pct of workforce 12.40 12.45 7.51
number of available jobless 328,583 329,860 195,922
---------------------------------------------------------------
ECONOMIC FORECASTS:
GDP EU-NORM CPI C/A DATE
'09 '10 '09 '10 '09 '10
FinMin -5.7 +1.9 +1.2 +2.6 N/A N/A Sept 23
NBS -5.6 +2.9 +1.1 +1.8 -5.8 -5.0 Sept 22
EC -2.6 +0.7 +2.0 +2.4 -7.5 -7.1 May 4
EBRD -3.5 +0.8 May 7
Notes:
FinMin - Finance Ministry
NBS - National Bank of Slovakia
EC - the European Commission
EBRD - European Bank for Reconstruction and Development
GDP - Real gross domestic product growth (pct change yr/yr)
EU-NORM CPI - Annual average consumer price index, calculated
under the EU methodology (pct).
C/A - Current account deficit (pct of GDP)
DATE - The date of the forecast release.
