* Czech rates seen flat, easing cycle to end
* Romanian no-confidence vote against govt seen failing
By Marius Zaharia
BUCHAREST, Sept 24 (Reuters) - Central European currencies
were rangebound early on Thursday, with investors eyeing a Czech
central bank rate meeting and a no-confidence vote against
Romania's centre-left coalition later in the day.
The Czech central bank (CNB) is expected to hold rates flat
on Thursday after trimming borrowing costs by a total of 250
basis points to a record low of 1.25 percent. []
"We assume that the rate low has been reached, while rate
rises are unlikely this year," Commerzbank said in a note.
"First of all inflation has been low recently, while the
economic recovery still seems fragile. In particular the recent
appreciation of the crown against the euro makes a rate rise in
the foreseeable future unlikely."
In Romania, markets were watching for a no-confidence vote
against the nine-month-old government. []
There have been rifts within the ruling coalition ahead of a
presidential election on Nov. 22 but the likelihood of a split
subsided significantly after the leftist partners pledged to
stay in government.
"Nobody in the market is pricing in a government collapse,
however everybody is waiting for the vote result so volumes are
very low," one dealer in Bucharest said.
At 0704 GMT, the Czech crown <EURCZK=> was flat from the
previous close, while the Polish zloty <EURPLN=>, the Hungarian
forint <EURHUF=> and the Romanian leu <EURRON=> were 0.1 percent
stronger.
The leu outperformed its peers this week after the
International Monetary Fund approved a second tranche of its
loan late on Monday.
Some dealers speculated the central bank also intervened
this week to prop up the leu, sending a signal it was ready to
use IMF cash to defend the stability of the currency.
The zloty has been the underperformer this week, depressed
by expectations of a big corporate dividend payout.
In Czech Republic, the parliament looked set to pass
austerity measures aimed at cutting next year's budget deficit
[]. The crown had risen after an agreement within
parties was reached on Wednesday.
Markets were also watching for central bank minutes in
Poland and debt auctions in Hungary <HUISSUE>.
--------------------------MARKET SNAPSHOT--------------------
Currency Latest Previous Local Local
close currency currency
change change
today in 2009
Czech crown <EURCZK=> 25.146 25.152 +0.02% +6.39%
Polish zloty <EURPLN=> 4.178 4.183 +0.12% -1.51%
Hungarian forint <EURHUF=> 270.85 271.08 +0.08% -2.7%
Croatian kuna <EURHRK=> 7.262 7.263 +0.01% +1.42%
Romanian leu <EURRON=> 4.223 4.226 +0.07% -4.94%
Serbian dinar <EURRSD=> 93.157 93.077 -0.09% -3.95%
All data taken from Reuters at 0904 CET.
Currency percent change calculated from the daily domestic
close at 1600 GMT.
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(Reporting by Reuters bureaus, writing by Marius Zaharia;
Editing by Ruth Pitchford)