(updated on June 8 with industrial, construction output)
NEW LISTINGS OR AMENDMENTS ARE MARKED* KEY INTEREST RATES ECB'S TWO-WEEK REPO rate (pct) 1.00 last changed MAY 7, 2009 former rate (pct) 1.25 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK REAL GDP Q1/10 Q4/09 Q1/09 FY/09 (pct change yr/yr) +4.8 -2.6 -5.7 -4.7 Final consumption Household +0.4 -1.9 -0.9 -0.7 Government +6.2 +2.9 +1.3 +2.8 Gross fixed capital
formation -0.4 -7.3 -3.9 -10.5 Foreign trade balance
exports of goods
and services +16.8 -5.2 -25.5 -16.5
imports of goods
and services +9.9 -10.3 -22.3 -17.6
--------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK REAL GDP (pct change yr/yr) FY/2009 -4.7 FY/2008 +6.2 (+6.4) FY/2007 +10.6 (+10.4) FY/2006 +8.5 (+8.3) FY/2005 +6.7 (+6.6) FY/2004 +5.0 (+5.2) FY/2003 +4.8 (+4.8) FY/2002 +4.6 (+4.8) FY/2001 +3.5 (+3.4) FY/2000 +1.4 (+1.4) -------------------------------------------------------------- C/A BALANCE MARCH/10 FEB/10 MARCH/09 (mln euro) -70.0 -12.0 -215.0 C/A BALANCE END-2009 END-2008 (bln euro) -1.938 -4.433 -------------------------------------------------------------- FOREIGN TRADE MARCH 10 FEB 10 MARCH 09 JAN-DEC 09 (mln euro) Imports 3,801.8 3,347.4 3,319.5 38,528.7 Exports 3,978.1 3,401.0 3,342.9 39,715.6 Balance +176.3 +53.6 +23.3 +1,186.8 DYNAMICS OF TRADE (pct y/y change) nominal imports +14.5 +16.1 -22.3 -23.4 nominal exports +19.0 +17.1 -20.4 -19.8 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK EU-NORM INFLATION APRIL 10 MARCH 10 APRIL 09 pct change mo/mo +0.4 +0.1 -0.1 pct change yr/yr +0.7 +0.3 +1.4 SLOVAK HEADLINE CPI APRIL 10 MARCH 10 APRIL 09 pct change mo/mo +0.4 +0.1 -0.1 pct change yr/yr +1.3 +0.8 +2.3 SLOVAK CORE CPI pct change mo/mo +0.5 0.0 -0.1 pct change yr/yr +1.5 +0.9 +1.2 --------------------------------------------------------------- CENTRAL STATE BUDGET JAN-MAY/10 JAN-MAY/09 FY 2010 PLAN (mln euro) revenues 3,958.468 3,945.497 12,530.994 expenditure 6,036.334 4,777.121 16,277.000 balance -2,077.866 -831.624 -3,746.006 --------------------------------------------------------------- PRODUCER PRICES FEB/10 JAN/10 FEB/09 pct change month/month -1.6 -1.7 +0.5 pct change year/year -7.4 -5.4 +1.8 --------------------------------------------------------------- *INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT APRIL 10 MARCH 10 APRIL 09 pct change yr/yr +21.0 +19.2 -20.7 --------------------------------------------------------------- INDUSTRIAL ORDERS FEB/10 JAN/10 FEB/09 pct change m/m +5.8 -4.2 +2.2 pct change y/y +32.3 +24.6 -36.8 volume (mln euro) 2,560.5 2,280.5 1,979.1 --------------------------------------------------------------- *CONSTRUCTION OUPUT APRIL 10 MARCH 10 APRIL 09
pct change yr/yr -1.2 -12.9 -13.9 -------------------------------------------------------------- SELECTED SECTOR SALES MARCH 10 FEB 10 MARCH 09 JAN-DEC 09 (pct change yr/yr) Retail sales +0.2 -2.9 -11.7 -10.3 Vehicle sales and maintenance -19.2 -5.8 -7.5 -17.9 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK AVG WAGES Q1/10 Q4/09 Q1/09 FY/09 real pct change yr/yr +1.6 +1.6 +1.7 +1.4 nominal pct change yr/yr +2.1 +2.1 +4.7 +3.0 SLOVAK INDUSTRIAL WAGES MAY 09 APRIL 09 MAY 08 FY/08 real pct change yr/yr -3.4 -0.3 +3.2 +2.8 nominal pct change yr/yr -1.3 +2.0 +7.9 +7.5 --------------------------------------------------------------- SLOVAK UNEMPLOYMENT APRIL 10 MARCH 10 APRIL 09 pct of workforce 12.52 12.88 10.92 number of available jobless 336,377 346,067 289,340 --------------------------------------------------------------- ECONOMIC FORECASTS: GDP EU-NORM CPI C/A DATE
'10 '11 '10 '11 '10 '11
FinMin +2.8 +3.3 +1.7 +3.4 -3.5 -3.9 Feb 10
NBS +3.2 +4.4 +0.7 +2.4 -3.2 -1.6 March 30
EC +2.7 +3.6 +1.3 +2.8 -4.5 -4.1 May 5 Notes: FinMin - Finance Ministry NBS - National Bank of Slovakia - GDP - Real gross domestic product growth (pct change yr/yr) - EU-NORM CPI - Annual average consumer price index, calculated under the EU methodology (pct) - C/A - Current account deficit (pct of GDP) - DATE - The date of the forecast release